Contra Costa Multi-Family Newsletter                                                                                                             July  '10

http://www.kilpatrickandcompany.com

 
     Sold!  8 Units, Concord                 Available 4 Units, Walnut Creek             Available  12 Units, Concord                   Available 64 Units, Antioch
 

Buyer Power:

July Trends
  

     Mortgage rates have fallen to the lowest level in more than five decades, with 30-year fixed loans at an average of 4.58% for residential financing, and most commercial loans in the mid to low 5 percents. This phenomenon is due largely to the recent flow of capital from European markets into the US treasury which has further depressed yields and mortgage rates have followed suit. Most real estate prices have retraced to levels last seen nearly 10 years ago and many owners of multifamily property are seeing their best tenants move out and purchase homes which have become increasingly affordable. However with unemployment rates leveling off over the past few months’, rents and vacancy levels have stabilized alleviating pressure on properties caused by the loss of tenants leading to an overall decline in vacancy levels, properties offering concessions and collection issues. Active investors/owners in this market are capitalizing on the depressed prices and vacancy levels buying properties with limited downside and financing them at tremendously low rates, increasing their cash flow and overall rate of return.

 

                                                                                    James Kilpatrick (510) 844-3647

Ethan Berger (510) 844-3659
 
 
Recent News Articles

 

 
 
Investors Snap Up High-Quality Multifamily Properties as Rents, Occupancy Improve
Co Star

    With apartment vacancies appearing to have peaked, and U.S. rents even starting to edge up slightly, offerings of quality multifamily assets have attracted multiple bidders and secured premium prices in the first half of 2010, with investors having an especially keen appetite for institutional-grade assets in attractive coastal markets. However, as with most asset classes in the current commercial real estate market, multifamily sales are largely divided between the asset haves and have-nots. With few high-quality performing apartment assets for sale and an abundance of pent-up capital seeking to invest, some properties have drawn multiple, even dozens, of bids.

 Continued

 
Mortgage Rates Fall to 50-Year Low
Contra Costa Times

    Mortgage rates have sunk to the lowest level in more than five decades, but consumers aren't rushing to refinance their loans or buy homes. Mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate for 30-year fixed loans sank to 4.58 percent this week. That's down from the previous record of 4.69 percent set last week and the lowest since the mortgage company began keeping records in 1971. The last time they were cheaper was the 1950s, when most long-term home loans lasted just 20 or 25 years. Rates have fallen over the past two months. Investors wary of the European debt crisis and the stock market have shifted money into the safety of Treasury bonds, driving down yields. Mortgage rates tend to track the yields on long-term Treasuries.

 
 
Finding Gold in them Thar Foreclosures
Contra Costa Times

            Now investors — many buying with their own cash — are back. Since last year, the share of homes bought by investors at daily auctions has multiplied more than fivefold. The scene unsettles some, wary that investors could dump homes if the market weakens or take advantage of buyers or renters. Others are troubled at banks' willingness to settle at auction rather than give more substantial concessions to struggling homeowners. But something's got to be done with all these overmortgaged, underappreciated houses. "The investors are a tool to help get those properties moved into new hands," says Diane Drain, a Phoenix bankruptcy attorney and real estate trustee. "At this point, the dam is so broken. How do you stop the flow? I don't know how you do it other than one little stick at a time."

Continued

 

CRE Markets Have Moved Away from the Edge, but Not Out of Trouble
Co Star                                                                                                                   

    While commercial real estate values have not rebounded in the first six months of the year, the fear that 2010 was a disaster waiting to happen has subsided as liquidity has started flowing back into the market, according to new reports out this past week from PIMCO and PricewaterhouseCoopers.  The pair of reports suggest that, for institutional quality property at least, property values have found a bottom and cap rates have peaked and could even start to subside. Neither of the reports is projecting a worry-free environment, however, in fact both are projecting a long, long road to full recovery.

    "While most investors sense that the worst is over in terms of market deterioration, supply greatly outweighs demand across all property sectors keeping overall vacancy rates high and rental rates on a downward trend," said Susan Smith, director, real estate advisory practice, PricewaterhouseCoopers. "Top-tier locations are showing the most signs of life with respect to tenant interest and recovery potential. However, inspiring leasing trends have yet to fully materialize, further contributing to this sense of market flux."

Continued

 

Home-Buyer Psychology Changes, Fuels Rental Market
The Wall Street Journal
 
    As the housing downturn drags on and on, (today comes news that starts dove 17% in May) the apartment sector is picking up. As I write in today’s Journal, some of the nation’s largest apartment-building landlords are reporting an end to rent declines. The main reason is demand: The first four months of this year saw the strongest apartment demand in a decade. “It’s a much more bullish sign than anticipated,” Hessam Nadji, managing director of Marcus & Millichap, tells Developments.

Continued

 

Kilpatrick and Company

 

 

For More Information Contact:
 
                                                                                                                                        
 
     

 

 James Kilpatrick
 President 
 Direct: (510) 844-3647 
 Cell: (510) 290-9647

 

 

 Ethan Berger
 Contra Costa Associate
 Direct: (510) 844-3659 
 Cell: (808) 753-3264 

 

                           
Current Listings

 

ON MARKET
 
 
 IN CONTRACT 
 
NNN 1 Unit - Concord 
 
NNN 1 Unit - Danville
 
Retail, E Leland - Pittsburg
SOLD
5088 Kenmore Dr - 8 units Concord
658 Memorial Way - 32 units Hayward
736 Stubbs Rd - 6 units Pleasant Hill
153 Maricopa Ct -5 units Pleasant Hill
3886 Mulberry Dr - 20 units Concord
 

                                                                       

 3645 Grand Ave. Suite 303
Oakland, CA 94610